Global Food Projections to 2020. Emerging trends and alternatives futures

After a brief review of recent historical trends in the global and regional food situation, this document describes the global food projections model called the International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT), developed by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). Next, an overview of the baseline demand and supply projections, including projections of crop area harvested and crop yields, food demand, price and trade projections for these commodities, and the effects of these projections on childhood malnutrition, is presented. Next the authors explores several alternative regional and global scenarios, including optimistic and pessimistic paths for the future world food situation. Finally, they consider the implications of these projections for future global food security and policy. A list of all of the countries and regions and commodities included in the model is presented in
Appendix A.